Do you expect China to win the most gold again in the olympics?

Question

China actually sends less athletes than US or Russia. Also despite of the huge population size, most Chinese have not really adopted most of this western sports and only a small percentage of Chinese are even playing a western type of sport that's the most common in the olympics. China isn't sending more than most countries so there is no way it would just dominate all the golds. I know some ignorant people (especially Chinese haters) will look at the population size without thinking intelligently.

Answer 1

Fine, take away the 3 gold medals in which the alleged underage gymnasts were involved.



That still gives China 48 gold medals in 2008.



The next closest competitor? 36.



Maybe home field advantage had something to do with it but they dominated the golds that year. Don't hate.

Answer 2

No, the home advantage is lost, also Britain has a different climate to that of China. The time the Olympics where on in China the weather was hot and humid not many people stand that, especially if there from cold countries. I don't think Chinese athletes will be at their best. Russia at hand should do better as I think their climate is more suited to UKs.



In fact your wrong, China sent more number of competitors per delegation than the USA. 639 vs 536. Also USA tends to enter more team events than China (plus more athletes used). Russia only sent 467 to the 2008 games



But if we going to use the per number entered sent argument we can argue that Panama is much better it fielded only 4 people and won one gold, if they had sent 639 people like China's team then they would had won 160 gold medals plus beating China on gold medals won per people sent. When there other countries that would be better than China if we did it this way, Mongolia, Kenya, Georgia are just a few that are better this way.



If we really want to get funny about it, we could go the points scoring way ie. gold = 3, Silver 2 Bronze =1 we find.



China = (3 x 51) + (21 x 2) + 28 = 223 pts

USA = (36 x 3) + (38 x 2) + 36 = 220 pts

But then again China did yield a bigger team by about 20 %

Maybe instead of being a Western (USA) hater you should be a little less ignorant about mathematics and statistics.

Answer 3

When the Olympics were in China there were many things other countries accused the CCP of doing illegal. These were never checked into by the CCP as it was in their country. I do not expect the CCP to have the power to do these things in any other country. How did the CCP do in the Olympics before they came to China, not like they did when they had the ability to cheat at home. So, no ability to cheat no medals like they won in China! I myself would love to see the young people of China get many many medals. I do not have the trust in the CCP to do what is right and to train these people though. I can only see the CCP cheating and not following the rules. If this is what the CCP does they will NOT win in any foreign nation because other nations follow the rules. If the CCP would set up a Olympic program and then keep their grubby hands out of it then the Chinese youth would win many medals. The problem is the CCP and their inability to follow rules and play fair, cheating or buying things are all they know.

Do I expect the Chinese to win the most Gold medals? Because of the CCP I have to say NO!



Edit: Lim and WNL both made very good points. But also think about the Olympics in China this way....these foreign nations came to China and took home the metals they won, not leaving these for the CCP.

Answer 4

Having 20% of the world's population to draw on, one would expect China to win 20% of the gold medals just to be called "average".



In 2008, China only won 17% of the gold medals (51/302), falling just short of an "Average" rating.

The USA, for example, won 12% of the gold medals (36/302) and they only have 5% of the world's population.

China has a long ways to go to be anywhere near as impressive.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Summer_Olympics_medal_table



Just look at Jamaica: Having only 0.05% of the world's population, they won 3% of the Gold Medals! WOW! THAT'S IMPRESSIVE!



(The USA also won more medals over all than China did. I love mathematics... It's so very factual!)

Answer 5

@Joe . . . Canada won three gold medals in 2008 . . . China won 51.



No, I don't expect China to win the most gold again. The build-up of national pride in the Olympics and the home-field cheering advantage was an amazing psychological advantage for the Chinese athletes! Wow . . . talk about honor! To be able to win gold in the first Olympics held in your home country . . . that's just something that is hard to duplicate. Add in not having to travel and not having to adjust to different culture/food/weather/language and you have a lot of factors that are hard to overcome.



While I expect China to do well in London, I don't expect them to repeat their Beijing success.



(BTW, it's "fewer" athletes . . . not "less." If the noun can be counted, then the word "fewer" is used. If it can't be counted (i.e. "We have less time than before.") then the word "less" is used.)



EDIT:



1996 Summer Olympics: China won 16 gold medals http://www.databaseolympics.com/games/gamesyear.htm?g=24

2000 Summer Olympics: China won 28 gold medals http://www.databaseolympics.com/games/gamesyear.htm?g=25

2004 Summer Olympics: China won 32 gold medals http://www.databaseolympics.com/games/gamesyear.htm?g=26

2008 Summer Olympics: China won 51 gold medals http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/olympics/2008/medals/tracker/



I expect that without the emotional high of home field, that the China teams will win 30-something gold medals. Possibly as many as 40.

Answer 6

There is a high probability that China will win the most gold in the London Olympics.

Answer 7

yes i do, it is harder this time, but i think winning outside china is the real prove of the capability of chinese athletes.



if the athletes being sent can do their best in every number they are competing in there is no need to send more athletes. in fact sending many athletes to compete in a sport that is not winnable is just wasting of resources and money

Answer 8

As it is well known that from last most of the times...CHINA is in top position..So I think that there is no expectations..as they deserves for it and really they are doing hard work..that is why they really won that much of medals.

Answer 9

Well Canada won the most gold last time